text:
IRAQ BODY COUNT PROJECT (IBC) is a web-based effort to record civilian deaths resulting from the US-led 2003 invasion of Iraq. Included are deaths attributable to coalition and insurgent military action, sectarian violence and criminal violence, which refers to excess civilian deaths caused by criminal action resulting from the breakdown in law and order which followed the coalition invasion. As of February 2019, the IBC has recorded 183,249 – 205,785 civilian deaths.[1] The IBC has a media-centered approach to counting and documenting the deaths. Other sources have provided differing estimates of deaths, some much higher. See Casualties of the Iraq War.

The project uses reports from English-language news media (including Arabic media translated into English), NGO-based reports, and official records that have been released into the public sphere to compile a running total.[2] On its database page the IBC states: “Gaps in recording and reporting suggest that even our highest totals to date may be missing many civilian deaths from violence.”[3] The group is staffed by volunteers consisting mainly of academics and activists based in the UK and the US. The project was founded by John Sloboda and Hamit Dardagan.

According to Jonathan Steele, writing in _The Guardian_, IBC “is widely considered as the most reliable database of Iraqi civilian deaths”.[4] But some researchers regard it at best as a floor, or baseline for mortality, and that it underestimates actual mortality by potentially several factors.[5]

Project statement

The IBC overview page states:

  “This is an ongoing human security project which maintains and updates the world's only independent and comprehensive public database of media-reported civilian deaths in Iraq that have resulted from the 2003 military intervention by the USA and its allies. The count includes civilian deaths caused by coalition military action and by military or paramilitary responses to the coalition presence (e.g. insurgent and terrorist attacks). It also includes excess civilian deaths caused by criminal action resulting from the breakdown in law and order which followed the coalition invasion.”[6]

The project quotes the top US general in Iraq, Tommy Franks, as saying “We don't do body counts”. The quotation was from a discussion of the Operation Anaconda in Afghanistan and was referring to counts of enemy soldiers killed, in the context of using enemy body counts as a measure of military success. The website, which omits the context of the quote, could be said to conflate the meaning of “enemy body count” with “civilian deaths caused” and to imply that the US is not interested in the number of civilian deaths its military operations cause.

Method

The IBC overview page states: “Deaths in the database are derived from a comprehensive survey of commercial media and NGO-based reports, along with official records that have been released into the public sphere. Reports range from specific, incident based accounts to figures from hospitals, morgues, and other documentary data-gathering agencies.”[7]

Project volunteers sample news stories to extract minimum and maximum numbers of civilian casualties. Each incident reported at least by two independent news sources is included in the Iraq Body Count database. In December 2007, IBC announced that they would begin to include deaths reported by one source, and that the number of deaths provided by such reports would be openly tracked on its database page.[8] Between 3.3 and 3.5 percent of deaths recorded by IBC are currently listed on the database page as derived from a single source.

IBC is purely a civilian count. IBC defines _civilian_ to exclude Iraqi soldiers, insurgents, suicide bombers or any others directly engaged in war-related violence. A “min” and “max” figure are used where reports differ on the numbers killed, or where the civilian status of the dead is uncertain.

IBC is not an “estimate” of total civilian deaths based on projections or other forms of extrapolation. It is a compilation of documented deaths, as reported by English-language media worldwide. See the sources section farther down for more info on the media and their sources.

Some have suggested bias of sources could affect the count. If a number is quoted from an anti-coalition source, and the Allies fail to give a sufficiently specific alternate number, the anti-coalition figure is entered into IBC's database as both a maximum and a minimum. The same works vice versa. The project argues that these potential over- and undercounts by different media sources would tend to balance out.

IBC's online database shows the newspaper, magazine or website where each number is reported, and the date on which it was reported. However, this has been criticized as insufficient because it typically does not list the original sources for the information: that is, the NGO, journalist or government responsible for the number presented. Hence, any inherent bias due to the lack of reliable reports from independent or Allied sources is not readily available to the reader.

Sources

The IBC overview page states that its sources include “public domain newsgathering agencies with web access”. They include sources that are from sites updated at least once a day, are “separately archived on the site, with a unique URL”, are “widely cited or referenced by other sources”, are in English, and have “fully public (preferably free) web-access”[9]

Primary sources used by the media are listed in the 2003 to 2005 IBC report. The sources are followed by the number of deaths reported from that source.

-   Mortuaries. 8,913
-   Medics. 4,846
-   Iraqi officials. 4,376
-   Eyewitnesses. 3,794
-   Police. 3,588
-   Relatives. 2,780
-   US-Coalition. 2,423
-   Journalists. 1,976
-   NGOs. 732
-   Friends/Associates. 596
-   Other. 196

Web counters

The IBC overview page states: “Results and totals are continually updated and made immediately available here and on various IBC web counters which may be freely displayed on any website or homepage, where they are automatically updated without further intervention.”[10]

Body counts change over time

Civilian deaths in the Iraq war (cumulative):

  _Date_                  _Min_     _Max_
  ------------------- --------- ---------
  9 April 2003              996     1,174
  10 August 2003          6,087     7,798
  25 April 2004           8,918    10,769
  12 September 2004      11,797    13,806
  12 March 2005          16,231    18,510
  6 December 2005        27,354    30,863
  28 June 2006           38,725    43,140
  2 October 2006         43,546    48,343
  1 March 2007           57,482    63,421
  5 August 2007          68,347    74,753
  | 2 May 2008           83,336    90,897
  | 24 October 2010      98,585   107,594
  | 12 January 2012     104,594   114,260
  | 1 January 2018      180,093   201,873
  | 1 January 2019      182,769   205,191
  | 1 January 2020      184,776   207,645

The figures above are those that appeared in real time on the IBC counters on or around those dates. However, those in the first line were increased radically in the following days and weeks. IBC's current Max figure for the entire invasion phase, up to 30 April 2003, now stands at 7,299. Because IBC performs analyses (e.g., accounts for multiple reports, eliminates overlaps, etc.), there is always a delay between the date on which incidents occur and the addition of their numbers to the IBC database. Another factor is that some reports emerge weeks or even months later - for instance the emergence of Baghdad city morgue reports for 2005 in early 2006. The 6 December line above was taken from the IBC total as it stood on 6 December 2005, but the emergence of the morgue figures later increased IBC's figures for that period to 31,818–35,747. The majority of civilians death from 2003 to 2011 were attributed to unknown actors.[11]

Cumulative updated body counts table

Following are the yearly IBC Project violent civilian death totals, broken down by month from the beginning of 2003. The top of the IBC database page with the table says 185,194 – 208,167 “Documented civilian deaths from violence”. That page also says: “Gaps in recording and reporting suggest that even our highest totals to date may be missing many civilian deaths from violence.”[12]

+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
|    | Ja | Fe | Ma | Ap | Ma | Ju | Ju | Au | Se | Oc | No | De | Ye |
|    | n  | b  | r  | r  | y  | n  | l  | g  | p  | t  | v  | c  | ar |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | ly |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | to |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | ta |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | ls |
+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+====+
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 3  | 2  | 39 | 34 | 54 | 59 | 64 | 83 | 56 | 51 | 48 | 52 | 12 |
| 03 |    |    | 77 | 38 | 5  | 7  | 6  | 3  | 6  | 5  | 7  | 4  | ,1 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 33 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 61 | 66 | 10 | 13 | 65 | 91 | 83 | 87 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 11 |
| 04 | 0  | 3  | 04 | 03 | 5  | 0  | 4  | 8  | 42 | 33 | 76 | 29 | ,7 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 37 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 12 | 12 | 90 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 23 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 05 | 22 | 97 | 5  | 45 | 96 | 47 | 36 | 52 | 44 | 11 | 87 | 41 | ,5 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 83 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 22 | 25 | 32 | 28 | 25 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
| 06 | 46 | 79 | 57 | 05 | 79 | 94 | 98 | 65 | 67 | 41 | 95 | 00 | ,5 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 26 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 30 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 22 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 99 | 26 |
| 07 | 35 | 80 | 28 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 02 | 83 | 91 | 26 | 24 | 7  | ,1 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 12 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 86 | 10 | 16 | 13 | 91 | 75 | 64 | 70 | 61 | 59 | 54 | 58 | 10 |
| 08 | 1  | 93 | 69 | 17 | 5  | 5  | 0  | 4  | 2  | 4  | 0  | 6  | ,2 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 86 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 37 | 40 | 43 | 59 | 42 | 56 | 43 | 65 | 35 | 44 | 22 | 47 | 5, |
| 09 | 2  | 9  | 8  | 0  | 8  | 4  | 1  | 3  | 2  | 1  | 6  | 8  | 38 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 2  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 26 | 30 | 33 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 48 | 52 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 21 | 4, |
| 10 | 7  | 5  | 6  | 5  | 7  | 5  | 8  | 0  | 4  | 5  | 7  | 8  | 16 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 7  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 38 | 25 | 31 | 28 | 38 | 38 | 30 | 40 | 39 | 36 | 28 | 39 | 4, |
| 11 | 9  | 4  | 1  | 9  | 1  | 6  | 8  | 1  | 7  | 6  | 8  | 2  | 16 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 2  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 53 | 35 | 37 | 39 | 30 | 52 | 46 | 42 | 40 | 29 | 25 | 29 | 4, |
| 12 | 1  | 6  | 7  | 2  | 4  | 9  | 9  | 2  | 0  | 0  | 3  | 9  | 62 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 2  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 35 | 36 | 40 | 54 | 88 | 65 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 87 | 11 | 9, |
| 13 | 7  | 0  | 3  | 5  | 8  | 9  | 45 | 13 | 06 | 80 | 0  | 26 | 85 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 2  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 10 | 97 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 15 | 33 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 20 |
| 14 | 97 | 2  | 29 | 37 | 00 | 88 | 80 | 40 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 27 | ,2 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 18 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 14 | 16 | 11 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 15 | 90 | 25 | 05 | 13 | 95 | 55 | 45 | 91 | 45 | 97 | 21 | 96 | ,5 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 78 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 93 | 19 | 17 | 11 | 16 |
| 16 | 74 | 58 | 59 | 92 | 76 | 05 | 80 | 75 | 5  | 70 | 38 | 31 | ,3 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 93 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 11 | 98 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 39 | 34 | 29 | 13 |
| 17 | 19 | 2  | 18 | 16 | 71 | 58 | 98 | 7  | 0  | 7  | 6  | 1  | ,1 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 83 |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 47 | 41 | 40 | 30 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 24 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 3, |
| 18 | 4  | 0  | 2  | 3  | 9  | 9  | 0  | 1  | 1  | 5  | 0  | 5  | 31 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 9  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 93 | 15 | 36 | 27 | 21 | 2, |
| 19 | 3  | 1  | 3  | 0  | 6  | 0  | 5  |    | 1  | 1  | 4  | 5  | 39 |
|    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 2  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+
| 20 | 11 | 14 | 73 | 50 | 74 | 64 |    |    |    |    |    |    | 52 |
| 20 | 4  | 7  |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    |    | 2  |
+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+

: Monthly civilian deaths from violence, 2003 onwards[13]

2006

The Iraq Body Count project states for the week ending 31 December 2006:[14][15] “It was a truly violent year, as around 24,000 civilians lost their lives in Iraq. This was a massive rise in violence: 14,000 had been killed in 2005, 10,500 in 2004 and just under 12,000 in 2003 (7,000 of them killed during the actual war, while only 5,000 killed during the 'peace' that followed in May 2003). In December 2006 alone around 2,800 civilians were reported killed. This week there were over 560 civilian deaths reported.”

From the above quote here are IBC yearly death totals (not counting the initial 7000 invasion deaths):

-   2003: 5,000
-   2004: 10,500
-   2005: 14,000
-   2006: 24,000

March 2003 to March 2005 report

The IBC released a report detailing the civilian deaths it had recorded between 20 March 2003 and 19 March 2005.[16] From page 26: “The analyses in this dossier cover the first two years of the military intervention in Iraq from 20 March 2003 to 19 March 2005, and are based on data which was available by 14 June 2005.”

The report says the US and its allies were responsible for the largest share (37%) of the 24,865 deaths. The remaining deaths were attributed to anti-occupation forces (9%), crime (36%), and unknown agents (11%).

Who did the killing?

-   37%. US-led forces killed 37% of civilian victims.
-   9%. Anti-occupation forces/insurgents killed 9% of civilian victims.
-   36%. Post-invasion criminal violence accounted for 36% of all deaths.
-   11%. Unknown agents (11%).

    Killings by anti-occupation forces, crime and unknown agents have shown a steady rise over the entire period.

Who was killed?

-   24,865 civilians were reported killed in the first two years.
-   Men accounted for over 80% of all civilian deaths.
-   Baghdad alone recorded almost half of all deaths.

When did they die?

-   30% of civilian deaths occurred during the invasion phase before 1 May 2003.
-   Post-invasion, the number of civilians killed was almost twice as high in year two (11,351) as in year one (6,215).

What was the most lethal weaponry?

-   Over half (53%) of all civilian deaths involved explosive devices.
-   Air strikes caused most (64%) of the explosives deaths.
-   Children were disproportionately affected by all explosive devices but most severely by air strikes and unexploded ordnance (including cluster bomblets).

How many were injured?

-   At least 42,500 civilians were reported wounded.
-   The invasion phase caused 41% of all reported injuries.
-   Explosive weaponry caused a higher ratio of injuries to deaths than small arms.
-   The highest wounded-to-death ratio incidents occurred during the invasion phase.

Iraq War Logs

In October 2010, the group _WikiLeaks_ released the Iraq War Logs, a set of nearly 400,000 classified US military documents on the Iraq war. IBC was among several media organizations and NGO's given pre-release access to the documents, and IBC co-founder John Sloboda delivered a speech at the press conference for the release by _WikiLeaks_.[17]

IBC published three pieces on their website detailing their analysis of the war logs.[18][19][20] Among the main findings were that the war logs, “contain an estimated 15,000 previously unknown civilian deaths,” and that addition of the new material would suggest that, “over 150,000 violent deaths have been recorded since March 2003, with more than 122,000 (80%) of them civilian.”

Academic publications

Between 2009 and 2011, IBC published three papers in peer reviewed academic journals, co-authored with researchers from King's College London and Royal Holloway, University of London. Each paper uses IBC data to evaluate different aspects of civilian casualties during the war.

The first paper, published in the New England Journal of Medicine in April, 2009, analyses civilian deaths between 2003 and 2008 according to weapon types used. Among the findings were that, “execution after abduction or capture was the single most common form of death overall,” and that, “events involving air attacks and mortar fire were the most dangerous” to Iraqi females and children.[21]

The second paper, published in _PLoS Medicine_ in February, 2011, analyses civilian deaths between 2003 and 2008 according to perpetrator, weapon, time, and location. The paper found that most deaths during the period were, “inflicted by unknown perpetrators, primarily through extrajudicial executions.” The paper also utilized what the authors refer to as the “Dirty War Index” which evaluates the behavior of different perpetrators or weapon types in terms of the proportion of women and children killed, with higher DWI ratios suggesting tactics or weapons that are more indiscriminate toward civilians. The study found that unknown perpetrators firing mortars had the highest DWI ratio, followed by Coalition Forces air attacks, leading the authors to advise that such weapons should not be used in populated areas.[22]

The third paper, published in September, 2011, in a special edition of _The Lancet_ for the 10 year anniversary of the September 11 attacks of 2001, focused on casualties of both civilians and Coalition soldiers specifically by suicide bomb attacks in Iraq between 2003 and 2010. This paper found that there had been at least 12,284 Iraqi civilians and 200 Coalition soldiers killed in at least 1,003 suicide bombings during the period. The study also found that these bombings had “injured no fewer than 30,644 Iraqi civilians,” and that, “children are less likely to survive their suicide bomb injuries than adults.”[23]

Criticisms and counter-criticisms

The IBC has received criticism from many sides. Some critics have focused on potential bias of sources. Others have raised concerns about the difficulty of distinguishing civilians from combatants. Others have criticized it for over or undercounting.

Some critics, often on the political right, claimed that the IBC numbers were an overcount, and that the numbers were suspect due to the antiwar bias of the IBC members. For example; 26 July 2005 _National Review_ article, “Bad Counts. An unquestioning media.”[24]

Others, often on the political left, criticized media and government willingness to quote IBC figures more approvingly than the much higher estimate coming from the Lancet study[25] that came out in October 2004.

Journalists included Lila Guterman,[26][27] Andrew Cockburn,[28] John Pilger, and George Monbiot[29]

In a 27 January 2005 article in _The Chronicle of Higher Education_ Lila Guterman wrote:

  The Lancet released the paper on 29 October, the Friday before the election, when many reporters were busy with political coverage. That day, the Los Angeles Times and the Chicago Tribune each dedicated only about 400 words to the study and placed the articles inside their front sections, on Pages A4 and A11, respectively. (The news media in Europe gave the study much more play; many newspapers put articles about it on their front pages.) In a short article about the study on Page A8, The New York Times noted that the Iraq Body Count, a project to tally civilian deaths reported in the news media, had put the maximum death toll at around 17,000. The new study, the article said, 'is certain to generate intense controversy.' But the Times has not published any further news articles about the paper.

This view of IBC was based on the belief that IBC figures are extremely low due to pro-US media bias and inadequate reporting due to its heavy (though not exclusive) reliance on Western media sources, which has led some of these critics to claim IBC should be called the “Iraq Western Media Body Count”. These biases and inadequacies, they claim, mean IBC's count is low by up to a factor of 10, and that it specifically minimizes the proportion of deaths caused by US forces.

Stephen Soldz wrote a 5 February 2006 article titled “When Promoting Truth Obscures the Truth: More on Iraqi Body Count and Iraqi Deaths”.[30] It stated: “Of course, in conditions of active rebellion, the safer areas accessible to Western reporters are likely to be those under US/Coalition control, where deaths are, in turn, likely to be due to insurgent attacks. Areas of insurgent control, which are likely to be subject to US and Iraqi government attack, for example most of Anbar province, are simply off-limits to these reporters. Thus, the realities of reporting imply that reporters will be witness to a larger fraction of deaths due to insurgents and a lesser proportion of deaths due to US and Iraqi government forces.”

A further claim has been that IBC does little or nothing to correct misuse of their figures by public officials or media organizations. It is claimed that the media often misuse IBC's estimate of the total number dead. It is also claimed that the media use the IBC's estimate in order to ignore or downplay the October 2004 excess mortality study published in the Lancet Medical Journal, which estimated a far higher figure. Critics of IBC argue that the Lancet study is the most accurate estimate so far and is more reliable than IBC's estimate.

Other criticism of various kinds came from journalists Stephen Soldz,[31] Dahr Jamail,[32] and Jeff Pflueger[33]

In April 2006, IBC published a lengthy response to their critics entitled “Speculation is no substitute: a defence of Iraq Body Count”.[34] In their reply, IBC argues that their critics have several key facts wrong. IBC argues that while their estimate is likely to be below the full toll, their critics' errors have led the critics to exaggerate the likely extent of such an undercount. Finally, IBC argues, the available evidence does not support their critics' claims of a pro-US bias infecting the IBC database.

English-language versus Arabic-language media sources

The IBC report for March 2003 to March 2005[35] states: “We have not made use of Arabic or other non-English language sources, except where these have been published in English. The reasons are pragmatic. We consider fluency in the language of the published report to be a key requirement for accurate analysis, and English is the only language in which all team members are fluent. It is possible that our count has excluded some victims as a result.”

Stephen Soldz, who runs the website “Iraq Occupation and Resistance Report”, writes in a 5 February 2006 _ZNet_ article[36] (in reference to the 2003-2005 IBC report[37]): “Given, as indicated in that report, that ten media outlets provided over half the IBC reports and three agencies [Associated Press, Agence France Presse, and Reuters] provided over a third of the reports, there is simply no reason to believe that even a large fraction of Iraqi civilian combat-related deaths are ever reported in the Western media, much less, have the two independent reports necessary to be recorded in the IBC database. Do these few agencies really have enough Iraqi reporters on retainer to cover the country? Are these reporters really able comprehensively to cover deaths in insurgent-held parts of Iraq? How likely is it that two reporters from distinct media outlets are going to be present at a given site where deaths occur? How many of the thousands of US bombings have been investigated by any reporter, Western or Iraqi? Simply to state these questions is to emphasize the fragmentary nature of the reporting that occurs and thus the limitations of the IBC database.”

In a 28 April 2006 BBC _Newsnight_ interview[38] the IBC project's co-founder John Sloboda, in response to these and similar arguments, has said: “we have never had over the entire three years, anyone show us an Arabic source that reports deaths that we haven't already got. In three years. In thousands of incidents. There are organisations that translate Arabic reports into English, and we see their data.”

IBC monitors many Arabic sources that either publish in English as well as Arabic, or are translated by other sources. Some of these include:

Al Arabiya TV, Al-Furat, Al-Ittihad, Al Jazeera (Web), Al Jazeera TV, Al Sharqiyah TV, Al-Taakhi, Al-Bawaba, Arab News, Arabic News, Asharq Al Awsat, As-Sabah, Arab Times, Bahrain News Agency, Bahrain Times.[39]

Undercounting

The IBC acknowledges on its website that its count is bound to be low due to limitations in reporting stating; “many if not most civilian casualties will go unreported by the media. That is the sad nature of war.” IBC's critics claim, though, that the IBC does not do enough to indicate what they believe is the full extent of the undercounting.[40][41] IBC has directly disputed these claims in a lengthy document on its website.[42]

One criticism of IBC's method, from MIT's John Tirman, a principal research scientist, is that the “surveillance instrument” - the news media - is changing all the time: media organizations add or (more likely) subtract reporters from the field, which was happening in Iraq; reporters were largely confined to Baghdad during the worst violence; and reporters tended to write about spectacular events, like car bombs, when much of the violence was in the form of revenge killings throughout Iraq. “As a result, this technique of totaling up the dead is incapable of accounting for the deaths that were not being recorded, whether by the English-language news media or the chaotic health care system.” IBC itself radically changed its method in the middle of the war, switching from two references to one reference in the news media.[43]

The October 2006 _Lancet_ study states: “Aside from Bosnia, we can find no conflict situation where passive surveillance recorded more than 20% of the deaths measured by population-based methods.”[44][45]

In an April 2006 article the IBC had described an example comparing itself to the 2004 United Nations Development Programme Iraq Living Conditions Survey (ILCS).[46][47] _The Lancet_ report uses the population estimates drawn from the ILCS study, while not mentioning its estimate of war-related deaths. IBC contends that ILCS is a more reliable indicator of violent deaths than the _Lancet_ study, and suggests a much lower number than the _Lancet_ study.

However, a supplement to the _Lancet_ study published separately by its authors, as well as subsequent interviews with one of Lancet's authors have disputed the methodology and results of the ILCS study. On the other hand, Jon Pedersen, author of the ILCS study, has disputed the methodology and results of the Lancet study. For more info on this controversy see the sections titled “Criticisms” and “UNDP ILCS study compared to Lancet study” in Lancet surveys of Iraq War casualties.

The 2006 Lancet study[48] also states: “In several outbreaks, disease and death recorded by facility-based methods underestimated events by a factor of ten or more when compared with population-based estimates. Between 1960 and 1990, newspaper accounts of political deaths in Guatemala correctly reported over 50% of deaths in years of low violence but less than 5% in years of highest violence.”

_The Lancet_ reference used is to Patrick Ball, Paul Kobrak, and Herbert F. Spirer and their 1999 book, _State Violence in Guatemala, 1960-1996: A Quantitative Reflection_.[49] From the introduction: “The CIIDH database consists of cases culled from direct testimonies and documentary and press sources.”

Chapter 10[50] elaborates, saying that “In the CIIDH project, participating popular organizations collected many of the testimonies long after the time of the killings, when people were less clear about details, especially the identities of all the victims.” And says, “Typically, during the collection of testimonies, a surviving witness might provide the names of one or two victims, perhaps close relatives, while estimating the number of other neighbors in the community without giving their names.”

They report in chapter 7:[51]

  Figure 7.1 shows that in the CIIDH database, most of the information for human rights violations prior to 1977 comes from press sources. ... Approximately 10,890 cases were coded from the newspapers. Sixty-three percent of the press cases were taken from Prensa Libre, 10 percent from El Gráfico, 8 percent from La Hora and El Impacto respectively, and 6 percent from El Imparcial. The remaining 5 percent is made up by eight other newspapers.

But also in chapter 7 they reported that in later, more violent years:

  When the level of violence increased dramatically in the late 1970s and early 1980s, numbers of reported violations in the press stayed very low. In 1981, one of the worst years of state violence, the numbers fall towards zero. The press reported almost none of the rural violence.

There is a list[52] of figures, tables, and charts in the book that can be used to calculate what percentage of their cases of killings by state forces were reported by 13 Guatemalan newspapers for each year when compared to the testimonies of witnesses (as previously described from chapter 10[53]).

In a 7 November 2004 press release[54] concerning the October 2004 _Lancet_ study[55] the IBC states: “We have always been quite explicit that our own total is certain to be an underestimate of the true position, because of gaps in reporting or recording”.

One of the sources used by the media is morgues. Only the central Baghdad area morgue has released figures consistently. While that is the largest morgue in Iraq and in what is often claimed to be the most consistently violent area, the absence of comprehensive morgue figures elsewhere leads to undercounting. IBC makes it clear that, due to these issues, its count will almost certainly be below the full toll in its 'Quick FAQ' on its homepage.

Quote from an IBC note:[56] “The Iraq Body Count (IBC) estimate for x350, like that for x334, was made possible by examination of the detailed data supplied to the Associated Press (AP) by the morgues surveyed in AP's 23 May 2004 survey of Iraqi morgues.”

That 23 May 2004 Associated Press article[57] points out the lack of morgue data from many areas of Iraq. Also, it states: “The [Baghdad] figure does not include most people killed in big terrorist bombings, Hassan said. The cause of death in such cases is obvious so bodies are usually not taken to the morgue, but given directly to victims' families. Also, the bodies of killed fighters from groups like the al-Mahdi Army are rarely taken to morgues.”

Media indifference

2016 saw the publication of the Chilcot Report, which had been commissioned by the British government. David Hallam, a very experienced press officer and former Member of the European Parliament, was assisting IBC with their response. He expressed his dismay that the British press were more interested in a trivial story that he was promoting at the same time about Pokémon, rather than the deaths of thousands of Iraqi civilians.[58]

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5] John Tirman, _The Deaths of Others: The Fate of Civilians in America's Wars_ (Oxford University Press, 2011), esp. Chapter 10; Neta Crawford, “Assessing the Human Toll of the Post-9/11 Wars: The Dead and Wounded in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Pakistan, 2001-2011,” Cost of War project, 13 June 2011, ; Christine Tapp, Frederick M. Burkle, Jr., Kumanan Wilson, Tim Takaro, Gordon H. Guyatt, Hani Amad, and Edward J. Mills, “Iraq War Mortality Estimates: A Systematic Review,” Confl ict and Health, vol. 2, no. 1 (7 March 2008): 9–10, http://www.confl ictandhealth.com/content/pdf/1752–1505–2-1.pdf

[6]

[7] Methods. Iraq Body Count. Overview.

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12] Iraq Body Count database. It has a table of monthly civilian deaths from violence, 2003 onwards. The database page says: “Gaps in recording and reporting suggest that even our highest totals to date may be missing many civilian deaths from violence.”

[13]

[14] “A Week in Iraq - Iraq Body Count”. Week ending 31 December 2006.

[15] “A Week in Iraq - Iraq Body Count”. Archive of Previous Weeks in Iraq.

[16]

[17] “WikiLeaks Iraq War Logs press conference” 23 October 2010.

[18] “Iraq War Logs: What the numbers reveal” 23 October 2010.

[19] “Iraq War Logs: The truth is in the details” 23 October 2010.

[20] “Iraq War Logs: Context” 23 October 2010.

[21] Iraq Body Count, 16 April 2009 “The Weapons That Kill Civilians — Deaths of Children and Noncombatants in Iraq, 2003–2008 - Press Release”

[22] Iraq Body Count, 16 February 2011 “New study: Analysis by perpetrator, weapon, time, and location (2003-2008)”

[23] Iraq Body Count, 3 September 2011 “Casualties of suicide bombings in Iraq, 2003-2010”

[24] “Bad Counts. An unquestioning media”, _National Review,_ 26 July 2005

[25]

[26] “Researchers Who Rushed Into Print a Study of Iraqi Civilian Deaths Now Wonder Why It Was Ignored”. By Lila Guterman. _The Chronicle of Higher Education._ 27 January 2005.

[27] “Dead Iraqis. Why an Estimate was Ignored” . By Lila Guterman, _Columbia Journalism Review,_ March/April 2005.

[28] “How Many Iraqis Have Died Since the US Invasion in 2003?” . By Andrew Cockburn. _CounterPunch._ 9 January 2006.

[29] “Bringing Out the Dead”. By George Monbiot. _The Guardian._ 8 November 2005

[30]

[31]

[32] Dahr Jamail and Jeff Pflueger. 13 April 2006. “Learning to Count: the Dead in Iraq”

[33]

[34] Iraq Body Count. April 2006. “Speculation is no substitute: a defence of Iraq Body Count”. By Hamit Dardagan, John Sloboda & Josh Dougherty. A rebuttal to the critiques by Stephen Soldz, Dahr Jamail, and others.

[35] Iraq Body Count.  . Report covers from 20 March 2003 to 19 March 2005, based on data available by 14 June 2005.

[36] Stephen Soldz. “When Promoting Truth Obscures the Truth: More on Iraqi Body Count and Iraqi Deaths” . _ZNet,_ 5 February 2006.

[37]

[38] “Interview transcript - John Sloboda”. BBC _Newsnight._ 28 April 2006.

[39] http://www.iraqbodycount.org/sources.php “IBC sources”

[40]

[41]

[42]

[43] Tirman, op. cit.: 333.

[44] 2006 Lancet study.  . By Gilbert Burnham, Riyadh Lafta, Shannon Doocy, and Les Roberts. _The Lancet,_ 11 October 2006

[45]  . By Gilbert Burnham, Shannon Doocy, Elizabeth Dzeng, Riyadh Lafta, and Les Roberts. A supplement to the October 2006 Lancet study. It is also found here: 1

[46] Iraq Body Count. April 2006. “Legitimate comparisons between studies and the strength of ILCS”.

[47] Iraq Body Count, April 2006 “IBC Compared to ILCS”

[48]

[49] _State Violence in Guatemala, 1960-1996: A Quantitative Reflection_.. 1999 book by Patrick Ball, Paul Kobrak, and Herbert F. Spirer.

[50] “Chapter 10: Naming the Victims” 1999 book by Patrick Ball, Paul Kobrak, and Herbert F. Spirer.

[51] “Chapter 7: Reporting the Violence”. 1999 book by Patrick Ball, Paul Kobrak, and Herbert F. Spirer.

[52] “List of figures”. From 1999 book. By Patrick Ball, Paul Kobrak, and Herbert F. Spirer.

[53]

[54]

[55]  . By Les Roberts, Riyadh Lafta, Richard Garfield, Jamal Khudhairi, and Gilbert Burnham. _The Lancet_, 29 October 2004. (hosted by zmag.org).

[56]

[57] “5,500 Iraqis Killed, Morgue Records Show”. By Daniel Cooney. Associated Press. 23 May 2004. Article is here also.

[58] https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/press-officer-murdered-iraqis-pokémon-go-david-hallam-ma/

title: Iraq Body Count project

question: What is the most important criticism of the Iraq Body Count Project, and what are its merits and flaws?

answer: The most prominent issue is the tendency to undercount the number of deaths. A lot of different people point out several ways in which media reports are systematically undercounting due to various reasons. While these seem valid, the project still offers a lot of utility regarding an assessment of the perils of war.

question: What would be different if the Iraq Body Count Project was an estimate instead of a tally?

answer: The project only counts reported deaths. They try to avoid duplicate counting as well. If they were trying to estimate the casualties, they could've tried to document the highest-casualty events, calculate the population density in the area and go from there. This is very likely to give much higher numbers.

question: Why does the project make a distinction between civilian deaths and military deaths?

answer: War affects civilians, and they aren't equipped to defend themselves against it. On moral grounds, modern war is desired to at least try to avoid causing civilian deaths.


split: train

text:
The LASER VORTEX is a high performance sailing dinghy designed by Jo Richards and awarded the “Sailboat of the Year” title on its introduction in 2000. It is a tunnel hulled single hander that has a trapeze and an optional Asymmetric spinnaker. It is manufactured by White Formula UK Ltd under licence from a consortium headed up by Jonathan Carter. Jo Richard remains the owner of the design. Laser Performance are no longer involved with the Vortex. In 2013 the decision was made to drop 'Laser' from the name, the boat is now known only as the Vortex.

The development of the Asymmetric 'kit' by Association Chairman and keen Vortex enthusiast Keith Escritt has brought new life to the class, with over 100 boats now flying the asymmetric option.

In handicap racing the Vortex sails off a Portsmouth Yardstick of 940 in the UK[1] and 86.8 in the USA .[2]

[1]

[2]

title: Vortex (sailboat)

question: Why was the Laser Performance no longer involved with the vortex?

answer: That information cannot be found.

question: If the Laser Performance was still used, would it have altered the sailboat's performance?

answer: It is not certain.


text:
The light turned red. I slammed on the brakes, and was in turn slammed into my seatbelt as my BMW M3 slowed. my bumper stopped only inches short of the crosswalk, and a group of half-stoned teenagers cursed at me as they jumped back. I waved impatiently and revved my engine. The straight-six roared, like a savage creature under the hood was waiting to be unleashed. As soon as the light switched, I popped the clutch and the roadster shot forward. Five seconds later, I was roaring down the country road at sixty miles an hour. Loud as the engine was, however, it was drowned out by the screaming in my head. Because, truth be told, I was running away. Away from my home and my wife and everything I knew, with nothing in the trunk but a tire iron and a suitcase with clothes for three days. The last words she had spoken to me as I threw jeans and shirts into my bag rang in my head. “Bastard!” She had called me as I ran out the door, a glass of whiskey nearly missing my skull. “Shithead!” “Asshole!”  She said, over and over again in my head. Much as I tried to dredge up a memory, any memory of her that didn’t involve having profanity and heavy things thrown my way, I just couldn’t. So I ran. I ran to the driveway and my M3, throwing my suitcase in the back, banging my head on the opened trunk. I jumped in and turned on the engine and drove away and... Holy shit!

The deer seemed to take flight, nearly missing the hood of my car as it ran into the woods. I shook my head and tried to concentrate on the road. By now, I realized, I was far into the mountains, farther than I had ever been. I had missed the turnoff which led to the interstate, and was heading deeper into the Arkansas highlands. The road was smoother now, but there was fog creeping onto the sides. I kept my high beams on to watch for deer, and opened my windows. The engine screamed through the straight pipes and, spurred on by the sound, I upshifted into fourth and took off, my tires rumbling and squealing over the asphalt. The road widened to four lanes, and just in time, because just as I came around a blind corner, there appeared an old Ford truck. As I came up behind it, I could hear its old engine straining to get up the hill. I flashed my signal and passed the old wreck and crested the hill. As I did, a set of headlamps flashed in my rearview. I flinched  as the lights disappeared behind me, only to flash again as the car they were attached to crested the hill a few hundred yards behind me. I looked over my shoulder to identify the car, but its lights suddenly turned off. Then I saw the Ford roll over the hill. Or, more accurately, what was left of the Ford. It was skidding on raw rims, its tires shredded and sparks flying in a grotesque fireworks display. The man behind the wheel had been blown away with a 12-gauge, and his blood obscured the windshield. The old truck flipped once as it slid off the road, landing in a thicket and catching fire as its gas tank ruptured. Over the cacophony of the crash, I heard the throaty growl of a big V8 through straight pipes. Even louder, though, was a banshee-like scream. Both were growing louder, and I decided to make my getaway. I planted my foot on the gas, and accelerated away. Even as my M3 put down its 333 horses, I could hear the other car coming on fast. I hit the brakes as I rounded a turn, and the shrieking only grew louder. As I came out of the turn, I got my first look at my pursuer. The car was a jet-black 1967 Camaro SS, its sliver racing stripes shining in the light of the full moon. The headlights abruptly came back on, and I could see skull-shaped cutouts over the lamps, throwing eerie white silhouettes on the road behind me. I cursed and dropped down a gear, my engine screaming as the car jumped forward. The Camaro shrieked as it accelerated. It had a monstrous hood scoop, and a silver glow emanated from inside. The muscle car swerved left, and came alongside me. I gunned my engine again, and pulled ahead. Then, and God help me for doing it, I saw the driver.

His head was smoky grey skeletal, with white fire blazing in his empty eye sockets. He wore a matte black firesuit, a skull-and-crossbones insignia adorning the shoulder. I looked, horrified, into the face of Death, and my vision tunneled. In a split second, I saw my family and friends standing by my graveside, growing older and dying before falling into the open pit. I blinked, but a vision of my wife appeared. She held a flaming stick, and cursed me as she swung it at my head. I screwed my eyes shut once again, and the shrieks of my dead friends were replaced with the banshee-scream of the supercharged car beside me. The death’s-headed driver looked at me and smiled, his moon-bleached teeth as bright as welding torches. He raised a black sawn-off shotgun, and I turned away, shifting into high gear and accelerating away. The Camaro was hot on my heels, but I could hear the wailing of his supercharger recede as I powered down the straightaway. His V8 roar mixed with the hair-raising sound of his supercharger,  but my car was faster through the corners, and I took full advantage. I could see Death, his evil, hollow face twisted into an angry grimace as he slammed on the gas. I hit the next corner hard, drifting around the hairpin as my rear tires spun and cried out in protest. I could hear myself cursing and screaming in abject terror as my tail end almost hit the guardrail, but I managed to recover and my tires miraculously regained traction. My straight-six belted out its gravelly song and, emboldened, I mashed the clutch and upshifted just as Death’s Camaro cleared the turn. He let his V8 do its work, putting down what had to be 500 horsepower, but I had the advantage this time. Looking down the road, I saw another hairpin corner leading into a long, winding descent. I stood on the brake and put the clutch in, sliding smoothly through the turn, and let the clutch out as I opened the throttle. My M3 screamed down the mountainside, leaving Death in the dust. I didn’t slow down for ten minutes, when the lights of my small town appeared around a shallow turn. I looked behind me and saw the black Camaro, stopped about a mile back, smoke coming out of its hood scoop. Death stood regally in the moonlight, his arm up in a terrifying salute. I turned the corner and, when I next looked back, the car and its driver had disappeared.

I arrived back at my small house, and pulled the M3 into the driveway. I climbed out, a grin on my face. After all, I had just faced down Death and won. How bad could a whiskey-throwing woman be?

title: The High Drive

question: Why is the narrator running away?

answer: It seems the narrator is running away due to his abusive wife.

question: What's the key event of the story?

answer: The narrator is confronted by Death, who drives a Camaro, but escapes him in his BMW M3.

question: Is the narrator in danger?

answer: It's not clear if he is in acute danger, but his wife throws heavy objects at him.

question: What's the most positive part of the story?

answer: After facing death himself and winning, the narrator realizes that his seemingly abusive wife isn't as bad comparatively.

question: Who says "Shithead!"?

answer: The narrator's wife

question: How old is the narrator?

answer: The information can't be found, but it can be assumed he is an adult.

question: Write a ~5 sentence summary.

answer: The narrator runs away from everything he knows, supposedly due to his abusive wife. While far into the mountains, he is confronted by Death, who drives a 1967 Camaro. In his BMW M3, he escapes Death. He returns home to his wife. Facing Death and winning doesn't make her seem as bad.